Patriots schedule 2023 Game-by-game predictions win totals toughest stretch opponents pivotal matchups
The are looking to get the train back on the tracks. After drafting in the first round of the 2021 and watching as the rookie quarterback helped lead the team back to the postseason, things went sideways in 2022.The unorthodox approach with the offensive coaching staff threw New England's ascension under Jones off-kilter, but it does appear like Bill Belichick has righted the wrong of last season over the last few months. The team has hired Bill O'Brien as its offensive coordinator and added some high-upside pieces at the skill positions to add a different dynamic to the unit.Now, as the has unveiled its full schedule for the 2023 regular season, it's time to see if this reset will produce a team that can get above .500 and contend for the playoffs once more. The road won't be easy, however, New England faces the third-toughest strength of schedule in the NFL
Nick Pivetta Jersey this coming year with their opponents' combined win percentage from last season sitting at .549. That reflects their current win total projection, as Caesars Sportsbook has them sitting at 7.5 wins for 2023.Below, we'll comb through the entire 18-game slate for New England, highlight key games, the club's toughest stretch, and finally go game-by-game to predict how this season will shake out. WEEKOPPONENTDATETIMETV1vs. Sept. 104:25 p.m. ETCBS2vs. Sept. 178:20 p.m. ETNBC3at Sept. 241 p.m. ETCBS4at Oct. 14:25 p.m. ETFOX5vs. Oct. 81 p.m. ETCBS6at Oct. 154:05 p.m. ETCBS7vs. Oct. 221 p.m. ETCBS8at DolphinsOct. 291 p.m. ETCBS9vs. Nov. 51 p.m. ETFOX10vs. (Fankfurt Stadium, Germany)Nov. 129:30 a.m. ETNFL Network11BYE12at Nov. 261 p.m. ETFOX13vs. Dec. 31 p.m. ETCBS14at Dec. 78:15 p.m. ETPRIME15vs. Dec. 188:15 p.m. ETESPN16at Dec. 248:15 p.m. ETNFL Network17at BillsDec. 311 p.m. ETCBS18vs. JetsTBDTBDTBDThe Patriots are looking at four prime-time games, including a three-week stretch in front of the country from Week 14-16. That also includes a Christmas Eve matchup with the Broncos that will air on NFL Network.In Week 1, the Patriots will hold a halftime ceremony to honor .This is the first time that the Patriots have kicked off the season at home against an NFC opponent since 2000 (). The last time New England began the year against an NFC team came back in 2020 when they visited the in Arizona.This is the first time since 1995 that the Patriots have opened up the year with back-to-back home games.The Patriots will play both teams this season (Eagles in Week 1, Chiefs in Week 15).In Week 10, the Patriots will be heading to Germany for their international matchup with the Indianapolis Colts. It is noteworthy that New England's bye week will come after this game in Week 11 instead of before it in Week 9, which could have been an option.The Patriots have zero games against opponents coming off a bye week.New England's toughest stretch could very well be the first month of the year. While they do have the luxury of starting the 2022 campaign with back-to-back home games, their opponents consist of the NFC Champion Eagles and a Miami Dolphins team that sports a quarterback in Tua Tagovalia who is 4-0 against the Patriots in his career. After that, they go on the road to MetLife Stadium to get their first taste of with the Jets and then head to Dallas to face the Cowboys.Week 1 -- vs. EaglesWeek 2 -- vs. DolphinsWeek 3 -- at JetsWeek 4 -- at CowboysJudging by the roster talent of those four teams, going .500 over that stretch would feel like a mini-miracle. If they find themselves going 0-4 over that stretch (which feels like a po sibility), they'll have created a ma sive hole for themselves out of the gate.Meanwhile, the back half of the year when the Patriots will face the Chiefs at home, travel to Denver, travel to Buffalo, and host the Jets to end the regular season is another rough stretch where they may not be favored in a single matchup. You can read more about, but here's a quick rundown:Week 1 vs. EaglesWeek 3 at JetsWeek 10 vs. ColtsWeek 6 at RaidersWeek 15 vs. ChiefsWeek 1: vs. EaglesSpread: Eagles -5Opponent O/U win total: 10.5I think the Patriots surprisingly keep this game close with the defending NFC Champions. Bill Belichick and Bill O'Brien will have all summer to revamp their offense and come up with a cohesive attack out of the gate. Historically, the Super Bowl runner
Nick Williams Jersey -up has also struggled in this spot. Since Super Bowl XXXIV, the runner-up has gone 8-14 in Week 1, and that number is even worse (4-18) against the spread. With the home-field advantage and Tom Brady in the stands, the Patriots hang tough and keep it close, but Philly is still too good to be upset.Prediction: Eagles 27, Patriots 24Record: 0-1Week 2: vs. DolphinsOpponent O/U win total: 9.5Miami has been a thorn in New England's side for years, and I don't expect that to change in this matchup. is expected to be healthy to begin the year, and if he's under center he should continue his succe s against the Patriots. The young QB is 4-0 against Bill Belichick in his career and has plenty of speedy weapons at his disposal, headlined by and . Those two may be too much for this young secondary to contain this early in this season.Prediction: Dolphins 30, Patriots 24Record: 0-2Week 3: at JetsOpponent O/U win total: 9.5After dropping the first two games of the season at home, the Patriots head to Mr. Rodgers' neighborhood -- also known as MetLife Stadium. New England gets its first glimpse of Aaron Rodgers with the Jets, and the four-time league MVP comes out of the gate hot with his new team. Rodgers and the Jets use this game as a statement to decree that they are no longer the bottom-dwellers of the division. New York gets a rare win over Bill Belichick, who drops to 0-3 on the year. Prediction: Jets 28, Patriots 20Record: 0-3Week 4: at CowboysOpponent O/U win total: 9.5The Patriots finally get into the win column with an upset over the Cowboys in Dallas. Belichick simply out-coaches Mike McCarthy and the Cowboys commit a handful of self-inflicted mistakes that prove to be their demise. This is also a cla sic lookahead game for Dallas, which will visit the (the team that's eliminated them from the playoffs in each of the past two seasons) on "Sunday Night Football" in Week 5. Prediction: Patriots 27, Cowboys 23Record: 1-3Week 5: vs. SaintsOpponent O/U win total: 9.5Riding high from that upset in Dallas, the Patriots return home to give their home crowd its first victory of the year. New Orleans should be a much easier opponent than what New England had to deal with over the first month, even if the Saints have improved their quarterback play with . Even as the Carr-led Raiders edged out the win last season, Belichick was
Mike Schmidt Jersey able to give Carr fits in that matchup last season. That should continue here.Prediction: Patriots 30, Raiders 24Record: 2-3Week 6: at RaidersOpponent O/U win total: 7.5Speaking of the Raiders, the Patriots head back to Allegiant Stadium for the second time in as many seasons. Of course, New England coughed up this head-to-head last season at the last second, and it avenges that lo s with a solid showing from the defense that keeps and at bay. What's that? A winning streak, you say? After a rough opening stretch, the Patriots claw back to .500.Prediction: Patriots 27, Raiders 20Record: 3-3Week 7: vs. BillsOpponent O/U win total: 10.5New England's winning streak comes to an end after a sobering lo s here to Buffalo. The Bills come into Foxborough and show they are still the top threat in the AFC East with a dazzling display from . The Patriots are feisty, but this game hammers home that there is still a ways to go before stacking up against the AFC's elite.Prediction: Bills 35, Patriots 23Record: 3-4Week 8: at DolphinsOpponent O/U win total: 9.5I think the Patriots split the season series with Miami, so let's pencil them in for a rare win at Hard Rock Stadium after the Dolphins were able to clip them in Week 2. This game will be close, but New England's defense is able to silence Miami's speedy weapons just enough to head back to the Northeast back to .500.Prediction: Patriots 23, Dolphins 21Record: 4-4Week 9: vs. CommandersOpponent O/U win total: 6.5Out of each game the Patriots play this season, I think most would agree that Week 9 at home against Washington is their most winnable game on paper. The Commanders are set to trot out as their starting quarterback, and Bill Belichick has routinely feasted on rookie/first-year quarterback. I don't expect Howell to be the exception to that rule. This game could be a matchup where the defense helps out the offensive side of the ball with some points of its own.Prediction: Patriots 30, Commanders 17Record: 5-4Week 10: vs. Colts (in Germany)Opponent O/U win total: 6.5The Patriots will play an early-morning game for those watching in Foxborough when they take on the Colts in Germany. While this game will have the novelty of being on the international stage, this is a head-to-head that New England should come back to the U.S. victorious. Not only is Indy expected to play a rookie quarterback at this point in No. 4 pick , but it also has a first-year head coach in Shane Steichen. That's a formula for
Mitch Williams Jersey the Patriots -- who are 3-0 in international games in their history -- to dominate.Prediction: Patriots 33, Colts 20Record: 6-4Week 12: at GiantsOpponent O/U win total: 8.5While a midseason bye week is certainly welcomed by the players (especially after playing out of the country), I do think it has the potential to take the wind out of New England's sails just a bit. After beating up on some inferior opponents, the Patriots travel to MetLife Stadium to take on the Giants, who should be even more competitive than last year's playoff club thanks to some savvy moves this offseason. On top of Brian Daboll pushing all the right buttons on offense, Wink Martindale's blitz-happy defense could exploit New England's weakne s up front along the offensive line.Prediction: Giants 27, Patriots 20Record: 6-5Week 13: vs. ChargersOpponent O/U win total: 9.5At some point, needs to look like Justin Herbert against the Patriots, right? The quarterback is 0-2 against Belichick in his career and has completed just 50% of his throws against New England. Herbert is too talented for this to occur for the third consecutive time, so we expect him to play more like the superstar QB we're accustomed to, which is bad news for a New England team that continues to seesaw around .500.Prediction: Chargers 27, Patriots 21Record: 6-6Week 14: at SteelersOpponent O/U win total: 8.5New England doesn't have much time to think about its lo s to the Chargers, as it'll play on a short week in Week 14, taking on the Steelers for "Thursday Night Football." Pittsburgh should be better in 2023 with having a year under his belt, and you can expect this to be your typical Patriots-Steelers grind of a game that Belichick and company barely eke out.Prediction: Patriots 23, Steelers 21Record: 7-6Week 15: vs. ChiefsOpponent O/U win total: 11.5Thanks to the Thursday game in Week 14, the Patriots will be coming into this "Monday Night Football" game fresh off a mini-bye. They'll certainly need all the rest they can get when they take on a Chiefs team that'll likely be contending for the No. 1 seed in the AFC once again at this point in the year. While the Patriots have been a tough out for most of the year, it's apparent that they are still not among the top tier in the conference. This lo s at home to Kansas City is another reminder of that.Prediction: Chiefs 31, Patriots 23Record: 7-7Week 16: at BroncosOpponent O/U win total: 8.5I think the Broncos will be better with Sean Payton leading them as head coach, but still not among the best teams in the AFC. This Christmas Eve head-to-head does come at a rough point for Denver as they come home after
Tug McGraw Jersey a three-game road trip with the most recent game being played in Detroit against the . It's a tight back and forth with two Hall of Fame coaches pulling the strings on each sideline, but the Patriots put a W in their stocking.Prediction: Patriots 27, Broncos 24Record: 8-7Week 17: at BillsOpponent O/U win total: 10.5I expect the AFC to be very tight at the top from wire to wire, which means teams like the Bills will be playing out the final few weeks to try and secure the No. 1 seed. With that in mind, this should be a hectic environment for the Patriots as they go to Buffalo to take on a loaded Bills club. As we saw in their head-to-head earlier in the season, they are simply the more talented team with an MVP-caliber quarterback.Prediction: Bills 31, Patriots 21Record: 8-8Week 18: vs. JetsOpponent O/U win total: 9.5This game could go either way. If the Jets have their playoff spot secure, they could opt to rest their starters, which would give the Patriots the opportunity to finish above .500. If they are playing for their postseason lives, however, Rodgers will be giving it maximum effort, which is no easy mountain to climb if you're the Patriots defense.Prediction: Jets 28, Patriots 20Record: 8-9
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